Newsgroups: aus.radio,ips.solar.activity,rec.radio.amateur.misc,rec.radio.info Path: news.cs.tut.fi!news.funet.fi!sunic!trane.uninett.no!ifi.uio.no!wabbit.cc.uow.edu.au!news.ci.com.au!metro!ipso!rwc From: rwc@flare.syd.ips.oz.au (Regional Warning Centre) Subject: IPS Daily Report - 08 Febraury 95 Message-ID: <1995Feb8.233959.3203@ips.oz.au> Followup-To: aus.radio,rec.radio.amateur.misc Sender: news@ips.oz.au (Usenet News) Nntp-Posting-Host: flare.syd.ips.oz.au Organization: IPS Radio and Space Services. Sydney, Australia. Date: Wed, 8 Feb 1995 23:39:59 GMT Approved: rec-radio-info@ve6mgs.ampr.ab.ca Lines: 86 Xref: news.cs.tut.fi aus.radio:801 rec.radio.amateur.misc:67374 rec.radio.info:7673 SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT ISSUED AT 08/2330Z FEBRUARY 1995 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES FROM THE REGIONAL WARNING CENTRE (RWC), SYDNEY. SUMMARY FOR 08 FEBRUARY AND FORECAST FOR 09 FEBRUARY - 11 FEBRUARY ----------------------------------------------------------- 1A. SOLAR SUMMARY Activity: very low Flares: none. Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number : 86/29 GOES satellite data for 07 Feb Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV: 2.0E+05 Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV: 1.6E+04 Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 3.7E+07 (normal) X-ray background: A9.7 Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day. 1B. SOLAR FORECAST 09 Feb 10 Feb 11 Feb Activity Very low Very low Very low Fadeouts None expected None expected None expected Forecast 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 09 Feb: 85/27 ----------------------------------------------------------- 2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY Geomagnetic field at Learmonth: Mostly quiet to unsettled with active levels from 00-03 UT and minor storm levels 09-12 UT. Estimated Indices : A K Observed A Index 07 Feb Learmonth 17 4335 3222 Fredericksburg 25 10 Planetary 30 8 Observed Kp for 07 Feb: 2322 1114 2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST DATE Ap CONDITIONS 09 Feb 10 Quiet to unsettled however, there may be an isolated active period during local night hours. 10 Feb 8 Quiet to unsettled 11 Feb 8 Quiet to unsettled ----------------------------------------------------------- 3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY LATITUDE BAND DATE LOW MIDDLE HIGH 08 Feb normal fair-normal fair-normal PCA Event : None. 3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST LATITUDE BAND DATE LOW MIDDLE HIGH 09 Feb normal normal fair 10 Feb normal normal fair 11 Feb normal normal fair ----------------------------------------------------------- 4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY Observed DATE T-index MUFs at Sydney 08 Feb 45 Near predicted monthly values with 20-40% enhancements from 02-04 UT and 08-09 UT, 30% depression at 12 UT. Predicted Monthly T-index for February: 15 4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST DATE T-index MUFs 09 Feb 30 Near predicted monthly values 10 Feb 25 Near predicted monthly values 11 Feb 25 Near predicted monthly values COMMENT: Townsville frequencies were 20-50% enhanced 08-10, 13-21UT. Hobart frequencies were 30% above 07-09UT and 30% depressed 14-17UT. Spread F and sporadic E were observed at Hobart from 12-19UT. -- IPS Regional Warning Centre, Sydney |IPS Radio and Space Services RWC Duty Forecaster tel: +61 2 4148329 |PO Box 5606 Recorded Message tel: +61 2 4148330 |West Chatswood NSW 2057 email: rwc@ips.oz.au fax: +61 2 4148331 |AUSTRALIA