Newsgroups: aus.radio,ips.solar.activity,rec.radio.amateur.misc,rec.radio.info Path: news.cs.tut.fi!news.funet.fi!sunic!trane.uninett.no!ifi.uio.no!wabbit.cc.uow.edu.au!dmssyd.syd.dms.CSIRO.AU!metro!ipso!rwc From: rwc@flare.syd.ips.oz.au (Regional Warning Centre) Subject: IPS Daily Report - 04 January 95 Message-ID: <1995Jan4.231119.19519@ips.oz.au> Followup-To: aus.radio,rec.radio.amateur.misc Sender: news@ips.oz.au (Usenet News) Nntp-Posting-Host: flare.syd.ips.oz.au Organization: IPS Radio and Space Services. Sydney, Australia. Date: Wed, 4 Jan 1995 23:11:19 GMT Approved: rec-radio-info@ve6mgs.ampr.ab.ca Lines: 76 Xref: news.cs.tut.fi aus.radio:754 rec.radio.amateur.misc:65156 rec.radio.info:7376 SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT ISSUED AT 04/2330Z JANUARY 1995 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES FROM THE REGIONAL WARNING CENTRE (RWC), SYDNEY. SUMMARY FOR 04 JANUARY AND FORECAST FOR 05 JANUARY - 07 JANUARY ----------------------------------------------------------- 1A. SOLAR SUMMARY Activity: low Flares: none. Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number : 77/16 GOES satellite data for 03 Jan Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV: NA Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV: 1.1E+04 Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 1.7E+07 (normal) X-ray background: A7.4 Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day. 1B. SOLAR FORECAST 05 Jan 06 Jan 07 Jan Activity Very low Very low Very low Fadeouts None expected None expected None expected Forecast 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 05 Jan: 80/20 ----------------------------------------------------------- 2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY Geomagnetic field at Learmonth: unsettled to active Estimated Indices : A K Observed A Index 03 Jan Learmonth 13 3333 4222 Fredericksburg 14 18 Planetary 15 21 Observed Kp for 03 Jan: 4353 3433 2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST DATE Ap CONDITIONS 05 Jan 14 Unsettled 06 Jan 8 Quiet to unsettled 07 Jan 8 Quiet to unsettled ----------------------------------------------------------- 3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY LATITUDE BAND DATE LOW MIDDLE HIGH 04 Jan normal fair-normal fair-normal PCA Event : None. 3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST LATITUDE BAND DATE LOW MIDDLE HIGH 05 Jan normal normal fair 06 Jan normal normal fair 07 Jan normal normal fair ----------------------------------------------------------- 4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY Observed DATE T-index MUFs at Sydney 04 Jan 18 near predicted monthly values Predicted Monthly T-index for January: 15 4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST DATE T-index MUFs 05 Jan 20 Near predicted monthly values 06 Jan 25 Near predicted monthly values 07 Jan 25 Near predicted monthly values -- IPS Regional Warning Centre, Sydney |IPS Radio and Space Services RWC Duty Forecaster tel: +61 2 4148329 |PO Box 5606 Recorded Message tel: +61 2 4148330 |West Chatswood NSW 2057 email: rwc@ips.oz.au fax: +61 2 4148331 |AUSTRALIA