Newsgroups: aus.radio,ips.solar.activity,rec.radio.amateur.misc,rec.radio.info Path: news.cs.tut.fi!news.funet.fi!sunic!trane.uninett.no!eunet.no!nuug!EU.net!howland.reston.ans.net!gatech!newsxfer.itd.umich.edu!caen!msunews!harbinger.cc.monash.edu.au!news.cs.su.oz.au!metro!ipso!rwc From: rwc@flare.syd.ips.oz.au (Regional Warning Centre) Subject: IPS Daily Report - 27 December 94 Message-ID: <1994Dec27.230858.29887@ips.oz.au> Followup-To: aus.radio,rec.radio.amateur.misc Sender: news@ips.oz.au (Usenet News) Nntp-Posting-Host: flare.syd.ips.oz.au Organization: IPS Radio and Space Services. Sydney, Australia. Date: Tue, 27 Dec 1994 23:08:58 GMT Approved: rec-radio-info@ve6mgs.ampr.ab.ca Lines: 76 Xref: news.cs.tut.fi aus.radio:746 rec.radio.amateur.misc:64764 rec.radio.info:7304 SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT ISSUED AT 27/2330Z DECEMBER 1994 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES FROM THE REGIONAL WARNING CENTRE (RWC), SYDNEY. SUMMARY FOR 27 DECEMBER AND FORECAST FOR 28 DECEMBER - 30 DECEMBER ----------------------------------------------------------- 1A. SOLAR SUMMARY Activity: very low Flares: none. Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number : 76/14 GOES satellite data for 26 Dec Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV: NA Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV: 1.0E+04 Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 2.1E+08 (moderate) X-ray background: A4.4 Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day. 1B. SOLAR FORECAST 28 Dec 29 Dec 30 Dec Activity Very low Very low Very low Fadeouts None expected None expected None expected Forecast 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 28 Dec: 75/13 ----------------------------------------------------------- 2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY Geomagnetic field at Learmonth: quiet to unsettled Estimated Indices : A K Observed A Index 26 Dec Learmonth 10 3222 3232 Fredericksburg 7 13 Planetary 10 14 Observed Kp for 26 Dec: 3233 3333 2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST DATE Ap CONDITIONS 28 Dec 14 Unsettled 29 Dec 8 Quiet to unsettled 30 Dec 8 Quiet to unsettled ----------------------------------------------------------- 3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY LATITUDE BAND DATE LOW MIDDLE HIGH 27 Dec normal normal normal PCA Event : None. 3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST LATITUDE BAND DATE LOW MIDDLE HIGH 28 Dec normal normal fair 29 Dec normal normal normal 30 Dec normal normal normal ----------------------------------------------------------- 4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY Observed DATE T-index MUFs at Sydney 27 Dec 33 near predicted monthly values Predicted Monthly T-index for December: 15 4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST DATE T-index MUFs 28 Dec 30 Near predicted monthly values 29 Dec 25 Near predicted monthly values 30 Dec 25 Near predicted monthly values -- IPS Regional Warning Centre, Sydney |IPS Radio and Space Services RWC Duty Forecaster tel: +61 2 4148329 |PO Box 5606 Recorded Message tel: +61 2 4148330 |West Chatswood NSW 2057 email: rwc@ips.oz.au fax: +61 2 4148331 |AUSTRALIA