Path: news.cs.tut.fi!news.funet.fi!news.eunet.fi!EU.net!howland.reston.ans.net!news.sprintlink.net!news.primenet.com!stat!david Newsgroups: rec.radio.info Message-ID: <9411141809.AA23855@rho.uleth.ca> From: oler@ultrix.uleth.ca (Cary Oler) Subject: Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 13 November Date: Mon, 14 Nov 94 11:09:10 MST Approved: rec-radio-info@stat.com Sender: news Lines: 167 From: oler@ultrix.uleth.ca (Cary Oler) Message-Id: <9411141809.AA23855@rho.uleth.ca> Subject: Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 13 November Date: Mon, 14 Nov 94 11:09:10 MST /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\ DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY 13 NOVEMBER, 1994 /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\ (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data) SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 13 NOVEMBER, 1994 ------------------------------------------------------------ !!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 317, 11/13/94 10.7 FLUX=081.2 90-AVG=082 SSN=011 BKI=1112 2211 BAI=004 BGND-XRAY=A3.0 FLU1=5.9E+05 FLU10=1.7E+04 PKI=2212 2121 PAI=005 BOU-DEV=008,009,009,010,010,014,006,006 DEV-AVG=009 NT SWF=00:000 XRAY-MAX= A9.4 @ 0801UT XRAY-MIN= A2.2 @ 0414UT XRAY-AVG= A3.5 NEUTN-MAX= +001% @ 2355UT NEUTN-MIN= -002% @ 2320UT NEUTN-AVG= -0.1% PCA-MAX= +0.1DB @ 1035UT PCA-MIN= -0.3DB @ 1835UT PCA-AVG= -0.0DB BOUTF-MAX=55212NT @ 1107UT BOUTF-MIN=55206NT @ 0605UT BOUTF-AVG=55208NT GOES7-MAX=P:+000NT@ 0000UT GOES7-MIN=N:+000NT@ 0000UT G7-AVG=+061,+000,+000 GOES6-MAX=P:+116NT@ 0131UT GOES6-MIN=N:-008NT@ 1103UT G6-AVG=+097,+006,+022 FLUXFCST=STD:080,080,080;SESC:080,080,080 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,005,005/008,008,010 KFCST=0013 3211 0013 3211 27DAY-AP=005,004 27DAY-KP=2211 1122 1101 1112 WARNINGS= ALERTS= !!END-DATA!! NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 12 NOV 94 was 26.1. The Full Kp Indices for 12 NOV 94 are: 1o 3- 2o 2- 1o 2o 2- 1+ The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 12 NOV 94 are: 4 11 8 6 4 8 7 5 Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 13 NOV is: 1.3E+07 SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY -------------------- Solar activity was low. A long-duration C1 event reached maximum at 1223Z. The site of the activity is uncertain. Just one spotted region is visible today, Region 7806 (N06E49), down from a total of six yesterday. Solar activity forecast: solar activity is expected to be very low. The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Geophysical activity forecast: the geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled throughout the period. Event probabilities 14 nov-16 nov Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF Green Geomagnetic activity probabilities 14 nov-16 nov A. Middle Latitudes Active 10/10/10 Minor Storm 05/05/05 Major-Severe Storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 15/15/15 Minor Storm 10/10/10 Major-Severe Storm 05/05/05 HF propagation conditions were normal over all regions. No changes are expected over the next 3 days, through 16 November inclusive. COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SESC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS ======================================================== REGIONS WITH SUNSPOTS. LOCATIONS VALID AT 13/2400Z NOVEMBER ----------------------------------------------------------- NMBR LOCATION LO AREA Z LL NN MAG TYPE 7806 N06E49 213 0000 AXX 00 001 ALPHA 7800 N12W37 299 PLAGE 7801 S02E12 250 PLAGE 7802 S06W03 265 PLAGE 7803 S14W00 262 PLAGE 7804 N04W22 284 PLAGE 7805 S21W11 273 PLAGE REGIONS DUE TO RETURN 14 NOVEMBER TO 16 NOVEMBER NMBR LAT LO NONE LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 13 NOVEMBER, 1994 ------------------------------------------------------- A. ENERGETIC EVENTS: BEGIN MAX END RGN LOC XRAY OP 245MHZ 10CM SWEEP NONE POSSIBLE CORONAL MASS EJECTION EVENTS FOR 13 NOVEMBER, 1994 ----------------------------------------------------------- BEGIN MAX END LOCATION TYPE SIZE DUR II IV 13/ 0955 1223 1317 LDE C1.2 202 INFERRED CORONAL HOLES. LOCATIONS VALID AT 13/2400Z --------------------------------------------------- ISOLATED HOLES AND POLAR EXTENSIONS EAST SOUTH WEST NORTH CAR TYPE POL AREA OBSN NO DATA SUMMARY OF FLARE EVENTS FOR THE PREVIOUS UTC DAY ------------------------------------------------ Date Begin Max End Xray Op Region Locn 2695 MHz 8800 MHz 15.4 GHz ------ ---- ---- ---- ---- -- ------ ------ --------- --------- --------- NO EVENTS OBSERVED. REGION FLARE STATISTICS FOR THE PREVIOUS UTC DAY ------------------------------------------------ C M X S 1 2 3 4 Total (%) -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --- ------ Uncorrellated: 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 000 ( 0.0) Total Events: 000 optical and x-ray. EVENTS WITH SWEEPS AND/OR OPTICAL PHENOMENA FOR THE LAST UTC DAY ---------------------------------------------------------------- Date Begin Max End Xray Op Region Locn Sweeps/Optical Observations ------ ---- ---- ---- ---- -- ------ ------ --------------------------- NO EVENTS OBSERVED. NOTES: All times are in Universal Time (UT). Characters preceding begin, max, and end times are defined as: B = Before, U = Uncertain, A = After. All times associated with x-ray flares (ex. flares which produce associated x-ray bursts) refer to the begin, max, and end times of the x-rays. Flares which are not associated with x-ray signatures use the optical observations to determine the begin, max, and end times. Acronyms used to identify sweeps and optical phenomena include: II = Type II Sweep Frequency Event III = Type III Sweep IV = Type IV Sweep V = Type V Sweep Continuum = Continuum Radio Event Loop = Loop Prominence System, Spray = Limb Spray, Surge = Bright Limb Surge, EPL = Eruptive Prominence on the Limb. ** End of Daily Report **