Newsgroups: aus.radio,ips.solar.activity,rec.radio.amateur.misc,rec.radio.info Path: news.cs.tut.fi!news.funet.fi!sunic!trane.uninett.no!ifi.uio.no!wabbit.cc.uow.edu.au!metro!ipso!rwc From: rwc@flare.syd.ips.oz.au (Regional Warning Centre) Subject: IPS Daily Report - 14 November 94 Message-ID: <1994Nov14.231523.21716@ips.oz.au> Followup-To: aus.radio,rec.radio.amateur.misc Sender: news@ips.oz.au (Usenet News) Nntp-Posting-Host: flare.syd.ips.oz.au Organization: IPS Radio and Space Services. Sydney, Australia. Date: Mon, 14 Nov 1994 23:15:23 GMT Approved: rec-radio-info@ve6mgs.ampr.ab.ca Lines: 76 Xref: news.cs.tut.fi aus.radio:691 rec.radio.amateur.misc:62185 rec.radio.info:6887 SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT ISSUED AT 14/2330Z NOVEMBER 1994 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES FROM THE REGIONAL WARNING CENTRE (RWC), SYDNEY. SUMMARY FOR 14 NOVEMBER AND FORECAST FOR 15 NOVEMBER - 17 NOVEMBER ----------------------------------------------------------- 1A. SOLAR SUMMARY Activity: very low Flares: none. Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number : 79/19 GOES satellite data for 13 Nov Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV: 5.9E+05 Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV: 1.7E+04 Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 1.3E+07 (normal) X-ray background: A3.0 Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day. 1B. SOLAR FORECAST 15 Nov 16 Nov 17 Nov Activity Very low Very low Very low Fadeouts None expected None expected None expected Forecast 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 15 Nov: 80/20 ----------------------------------------------------------- 2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY Geomagnetic field at Learmonth: quiet Estimated Indices : A K Observed A Index 13 Nov Learmonth 7 2222 2222 Fredericksburg 7 6 Planetary 7 5 Observed Kp for 13 Nov: 2212 2121 2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST DATE Ap CONDITIONS 15 Nov 6 Quiet 16 Nov 6 Quiet 17 Nov 6 Quiet ----------------------------------------------------------- 3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY LATITUDE BAND DATE LOW MIDDLE HIGH 14 Nov normal normal normal PCA Event : None. 3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST LATITUDE BAND DATE LOW MIDDLE HIGH 15 Nov normal normal normal 16 Nov normal normal normal 17 Nov normal normal normal ----------------------------------------------------------- 4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY Observed DATE T-index MUFs at Sydney 14 Nov 33 slightly above predicted monthly values Predicted Monthly T-index for November: 15 4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST DATE T-index MUFs 15 Nov 30 About 10% above predicted monthly values 16 Nov 30 Near predicted monthly values 17 Nov 30 Near predicted monthly values -- IPS Regional Warning Centre, Sydney |IPS Radio and Space Services RWC Duty Forecaster tel: +61 2 4148329 |PO Box 5606 Recorded Message tel: +61 2 4148330 |West Chatswood NSW 2057 email: rwc@ips.oz.au fax: +61 2 4148331 |AUSTRALIA