Newsgroups: aus.radio,ips.solar.activity,rec.radio.amateur.misc,rec.radio.info Path: news.cs.tut.fi!news.funet.fi!news.eunet.fi!EU.net!howland.reston.ans.net!spool.mu.edu!caen!msuinfo!harbinger.cc.monash.edu.au!news.cs.su.oz.au!metro!ipso!rwc From: rwc@flare.syd.ips.oz.au (Regional Warning Centre) Subject: IPS Daily Report - 07 November 94 Message-ID: <1994Nov7.232223.14703@ips.oz.au> Followup-To: aus.radio,rec.radio.amateur.misc Sender: news@ips.oz.au (Usenet News) Nntp-Posting-Host: flare.syd.ips.oz.au Organization: IPS Radio and Space Services. Sydney, Australia. Date: Mon, 7 Nov 1994 23:22:23 GMT Approved: rec-radio-info@ve6mgs.ampr.ab.ca Lines: 81 Xref: news.cs.tut.fi aus.radio:679 rec.radio.amateur.misc:61783 rec.radio.info:6810 SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT ISSUED AT 07/2330Z NOVEMBER 1994 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES FROM THE REGIONAL WARNING CENTRE (RWC), SYDNEY. SUMMARY FOR 07 NOVEMBER AND FORECAST FOR 08 NOVEMBER - 10 NOVEMBER ----------------------------------------------------------- 1A. SOLAR SUMMARY Activity: Very low Flares: None Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number : 082/023 GOES satellite data for 06 Nov Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV: 2.0E+06 Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV: 1.9E+04 Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 2.4E+07 (normal) X-ray background: A6.6 Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day. 1B. SOLAR FORECAST 08 Nov 09 Nov 10 Nov Activity Very low Very low Very low Fadeouts None expected None expected None expected Forecast 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 08 Nov: 080/020 ----------------------------------------------------------- 2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY Geomagnetic field at Learmonth: Quiet Estimated Indices : A K Observed A Index 06 Nov Learmonth 5 2112 1222 Fredericksburg 12 27 Planetary 12 37 Observed Kp for 06 Nov: 4466 4432 2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST DATE Ap CONDITIONS 08 Nov 12 Quiet to unsettled 09 Nov 10 Quiet to unsettled 10 Nov 10 Quiet to unsettled ----------------------------------------------------------- 3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY LATITUDE BAND DATE LOW MIDDLE HIGH 07 Nov normal normal normal PCA Event : None. 3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST LATITUDE BAND DATE LOW MIDDLE HIGH 08 Nov normal normal normal 09 Nov normal normal normal 10 Nov normal normal normal ----------------------------------------------------------- 4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY Observed DATE T-index MUFs at Sydney 07 Nov 27 20-30% above predicted monthly values at 00 UT and 05-08 UT and depressed 20-40% from 16-18 UT. Sporadic E obscured the F region from 01-04 UT and at 12UT. At other times frequencies were near November predicted values. Predicted Monthly T-index for November: 15 4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST DATE T-index MUFs 08 Nov 20 Near predicted monthly values 09 Nov 20 Near predicted monthly values 10 Nov 20 Near predicted monthly values COMMENT: Townsville frequencies were near predicted monthly values with 30-50% enhancements from 10-14 UT. -- IPS Regional Warning Centre, Sydney |IPS Radio and Space Services RWC Duty Forecaster tel: +61 2 4148329 |PO Box 5606 Recorded Message tel: +61 2 4148330 |West Chatswood NSW 2057 email: rwc@ips.oz.au fax: +61 2 4148331 |AUSTRALIA