Newsgroups: aus.radio,ips.solar.activity,rec.radio.amateur.misc,rec.radio.info Path: news.cs.tut.fi!news.funet.fi!news.eunet.fi!EU.net!howland.reston.ans.net!europa.eng.gtefsd.com!aggedor.rmit.EDU.AU!harbinger.cc.monash.edu.au!news.cs.su.oz.au!metro!ipso!rwc From: rwc@flare.syd.ips.oz.au (Regional Warning Centre) Subject: IPS Daily Report - 06 November 94 Message-ID: <1994Nov6.233149.23003@ips.oz.au> Followup-To: aus.radio,rec.radio.amateur.misc Sender: news@ips.oz.au (Usenet News) Nntp-Posting-Host: flare.syd.ips.oz.au Organization: IPS Radio and Space Services. Sydney, Australia. Date: Sun, 6 Nov 1994 23:31:49 GMT Approved: rec-radio-info@ve6mgs.ampr.ab.ca Lines: 82 Xref: news.cs.tut.fi aus.radio:678 rec.radio.amateur.misc:61726 rec.radio.info:6800 SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT ISSUED AT 06/2330Z NOVEMBER 1994 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES FROM THE REGIONAL WARNING CENTRE (RWC), SYDNEY. SUMMARY FOR 06 NOVEMBER AND FORECAST FOR 07 NOVEMBER - 09 NOVEMBER ----------------------------------------------------------- 1A. SOLAR SUMMARY Activity: Very low Flares: None Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number : 81/22 GOES satellite data for 05 Nov Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV: NA Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV: 1.8E+05 Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 1.1E+08 (moderate) X-ray background: A5.0 Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day. 1B. SOLAR FORECAST 07 Nov 08 Nov 09 Nov Activity Very low Very low Very low Fadeouts None expected None expected None expected Forecast 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 07 Nov: 80/20 ----------------------------------------------------------- 2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY Geomagnetic field at Learmonth: Mostly unsettled with active levels from 09-12 UT. Estimated Indices : A K Observed A Index 05 Nov Learmonth 15 3334 3332 Fredericksburg 25 12 Planetary 38 15 Observed Kp for 05 Nov: 4323 3334 2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST DATE Ap CONDITIONS 07 Nov 12 Quiet to unsettled 08 Nov 10 Quiet to unsettled 09 Nov 10 Quiet to unsettled ----------------------------------------------------------- 3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY LATITUDE BAND DATE LOW MIDDLE HIGH 06 Nov fair-normal fair-normal fair PCA Event : None. 3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST LATITUDE BAND DATE LOW MIDDLE HIGH 07 Nov normal normal fair 08 Nov normal normal fair 09 Nov normal normal fair ----------------------------------------------------------- 4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY Observed DATE T-index MUFs at Sydney 06 Nov 71 20-50% above predicted monthly values from 01-11 UT, depressed 20-40% from 16-19 UT and near predicted November values at other times. Sporadic E was present from 19-23 UT, and obscured the F region at 2000 UT. Predicted Monthly T-index for November: 15 4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST DATE T-index MUFs 07 Nov 25 Near predicted monthly values 08 Nov 20 Near predicted monthly values 09 Nov 20 Near predicted monthly values COMMENT: Townsville frequencies were near predicted with 20-40% enhancements 03-06 UT and 12-13 UT, 30% depressions 16-19 UT. Sporadic E was observed 04-06, 20-22 UT. -- IPS Regional Warning Centre, Sydney |IPS Radio and Space Services RWC Duty Forecaster tel: +61 2 4148329 |PO Box 5606 Recorded Message tel: +61 2 4148330 |West Chatswood NSW 2057 email: rwc@ips.oz.au fax: +61 2 4148331 |AUSTRALIA