Newsgroups: aus.radio,ips.solar.activity,rec.radio.amateur.misc,rec.radio.info Path: news.cs.tut.fi!news.funet.fi!sunic!pipex!howland.reston.ans.net!news.moneng.mei.com!uwm.edu!caen!msuinfo!harbinger.cc.monash.edu.au!news.cs.su.oz.au!metro!ipso!rwc From: rwc@flare.syd.ips.oz.au (Regional Warning Centre) Subject: IPS Daily Report - 15 October 94 Message-ID: <1994Oct15.232253.26416@ips.oz.au> Followup-To: aus.radio,rec.radio.amateur.misc Sender: news@ips.oz.au (Usenet News) Nntp-Posting-Host: flare.syd.ips.oz.au Organization: IPS Radio and Space Services. Sydney, Australia. Date: Sat, 15 Oct 1994 23:22:53 GMT Approved: rec-radio-info@ve6mgs.ampr.ab.ca Lines: 76 Xref: news.cs.tut.fi aus.radio:644 rec.radio.amateur.misc:60425 rec.radio.info:6547 SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT ISSUED AT 15/2330Z OCTOBER 1994 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES FROM THE REGIONAL WARNING CENTRE (RWC), SYDNEY. SUMMARY FOR 15 OCTOBER AND FORECAST FOR 16 OCTOBER - 18 OCTOBER ----------------------------------------------------------- 1A. SOLAR SUMMARY Activity: low Flares: none. Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number : 93/38 GOES satellite data for 14 Oct Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV: no data Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV: no data Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: no data X-ray background: no data Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day. 1B. SOLAR FORECAST 16 Oct 17 Oct 18 Oct Activity Low Low Low Fadeouts None expected None expected None expected Forecast 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 16 Oct: 92/37 ----------------------------------------------------------- 2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY Geomagnetic field at Learmonth: quiet to unsettled Estimated Indices : A K Observed A Index 14 Oct Learmonth 11 3333 3122 Fredericksburg 10 07 Planetary 10 08 Observed Kp for 14 Oct: no data available 2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST DATE Ap CONDITIONS 16 Oct 10 Quiet to unsettled 17 Oct 8 Quiet 18 Oct 10 Quiet to unsettled ----------------------------------------------------------- 3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY LATITUDE BAND DATE LOW MIDDLE HIGH 15 Oct no data available PCA Event : None. 3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST LATITUDE BAND DATE LOW MIDDLE HIGH 16 Oct normal normal normal 17 Oct normal normal normal 18 Oct normal normal normal ----------------------------------------------------------- 4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY Observed DATE T-index MUFs at Sydney 15 Oct 16 near predicted monthly values Predicted Monthly T-index for October: 20 4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST DATE T-index MUFs 16 Oct 15 Near predicted monthly values 17 Oct 20 Near predicted monthly values 18 Oct 20 Near predicted monthly values -- IPS Regional Warning Centre, Sydney |IPS Radio and Space Services RWC Duty Forecaster tel: +61 2 4148329 |PO Box 5606 Recorded Message tel: +61 2 4148330 |West Chatswood NSW 2057 email: rwc@ips.oz.au fax: +61 2 4148331 |AUSTRALIA