Newsgroups: aus.radio,ips.solar.activity,rec.radio.amateur.misc,rec.radio.info Path: news.cs.tut.fi!news.funet.fi!news.eunet.fi!EU.net!howland.reston.ans.net!europa.eng.gtefsd.com!uhog.mit.edu!news.kei.com!yeshua.marcam.com!zip.eecs.umich.edu!caen!msuinfo!harbinger.cc.monash.edu.au!news.cs.su.oz.au!metro!ipso!rwc From: rwc@flare.syd.ips.oz.au (Regional Warning Centre) Subject: IPS Daily Report - 08 October 94 Message-ID: <1994Oct8.231338.3258@ips.oz.au> Followup-To: aus.radio,rec.radio.amateur.misc Sender: news@ips.oz.au (Usenet News) Nntp-Posting-Host: flare.syd.ips.oz.au Organization: IPS Radio and Space Services. Sydney, Australia. Date: Sat, 8 Oct 1994 23:13:38 GMT Approved: rec-radio-info@ve6mgs.ampr.ab.ca Lines: 80 Xref: news.cs.tut.fi aus.radio:635 rec.radio.amateur.misc:60087 rec.radio.info:6482 SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT ISSUED AT 08/2330Z OCTOBER 1994 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES FROM THE REGIONAL WARNING CENTRE (RWC), SYDNEY. SUMMARY FOR 08 OCTOBER AND FORECAST FOR 09 OCTOBER - 11 OCTOBER ----------------------------------------------------------- 1A. SOLAR SUMMARY Activity: very low Flares: none. Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number : 86/29 GOES satellite data for 07 Oct Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV: 2.8E+06 Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV: 1.2E+04 Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 6.8E+08 (high) X-ray background: A4.9 Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day. 1B. SOLAR FORECAST 09 Oct 10 Oct 11 Oct Activity Low Low Low Fadeouts None expected None expected None expected Forecast 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 09 Oct: 85/27 ----------------------------------------------------------- 2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY Geomagnetic field at Learmonth: unsettled Estimated Indices : A K Observed A Index 07 Oct Learmonth 13 3333 2332 Fredericksburg 18 28 Planetary 18 27 Observed Kp for 07 Oct: 4454 5444 2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST DATE Ap CONDITIONS 09 Oct 14 Unsettled 10 Oct 10 Quiet to unsettled 11 Oct 10 Quiet to unsettled ----------------------------------------------------------- 3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY LATITUDE BAND DATE LOW MIDDLE HIGH 08 Oct normal fair fair PCA Event : None. 3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST LATITUDE BAND DATE LOW MIDDLE HIGH 09 Oct normal normal fair 10 Oct normal normal fair 11 Oct normal normal fair ----------------------------------------------------------- 4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY Observed DATE T-index MUFs at Sydney 08 Oct 1 initially near normal then becoming depressed by 15% until local dawn this morning Predicted Monthly T-index for October: 20 4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST DATE T-index MUFs 09 Oct 20 Near predicted monthly values 10 Oct 20 Near predicted monthly values 11 Oct 20 Near predicted monthly values COMMENT: Apparent ionospheric recovery was followed by further depressions,(at both Sydney and Townsville) hence the low T value for the 8th. Further depressions are not expected. -- IPS Regional Warning Centre, Sydney |IPS Radio and Space Services RWC Duty Forecaster tel: +61 2 4148329 |PO Box 5606 Recorded Message tel: +61 2 4148330 |West Chatswood NSW 2057 email: rwc@ips.oz.au fax: +61 2 4148331 |AUSTRALIA