Xref: news.cs.tut.fi aus.radio:426 rec.radio.amateur.misc:51597 rec.radio.info:5033 Newsgroups: aus.radio,ips.solar.activity,rec.radio.amateur.misc,rec.radio.info Path: news.cs.tut.fi!news.cc.tut.fi!news.funet.fi!sunic!trane.uninett.no!nac.no!ifi.uio.no!wabbit.cc.uow.edu.au!metro!ipso!rwc From: rwc@flare.syd.ips.oz.au (Regional Warning Centre) Subject: IPS Daily Report - 14 May 94 Message-ID: <1994May14.232028.25377@ips.oz.au> Followup-To: aus.radio,rec.radio.amateur.misc Sender: news@ips.oz.au (Usenet News) Nntp-Posting-Host: flare.syd.ips.oz.au Organization: IPS Radio and Space Services. Sydney, Australia. Date: Sat, 14 May 1994 23:20:28 GMT Approved: rec-radio-info@ve6mgs.ampr.ab.ca Lines: 88 SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT ISSUED AT 14/2330Z MAY 1994 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES FROM THE REGIONAL WARNING CENTRE (RWC), SYDNEY. SUMMARY FOR 14 MAY AND FORECAST UP TO 17 MAY IPS Warning 13 was issued on 09 May and is still current. ----------------------------------------------------------- 1A. SOLAR SUMMARY Activity: low Flares: none. Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number : 090/034 1B. SOLAR FORECAST 15 May 16 May 17 May Activity Low Low Low Fadeouts None expected None expected None expected Forecast 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number : 090/034 1C. SOLAR COMMENT None. ----------------------------------------------------------- 2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY Geomagnetic field at Learmonth: quiet to unsettled Estimated Indices : A K Observed A Index 13 May Learmonth 13 3333 3223 Fredericksburg 15 08 Planetary 20 09 Observed Kp for 13 May: 3322 1223 2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST DATE Ap CONDITIONS 15 May 25 Unsettled to active, with isolated minor storm periods. 16 May 20 Unsettled to active. 17 May 15 Unsettled. 2C. MAGNETIC COMMENT None. 3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY LATITUDE BAND DATE LOW MIDDLE HIGH 14 May normal normal normal PCA Event : None. 3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST LATITUDE BAND DATE LOW MIDDLE HIGH 15 May normal normal fair 16 May normal fair poor-fair 17 May normal fair poor-fair 3C. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION COMMENT NONE. ----------------------------------------------------------- 4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY MUFs at Sydney were near predicted monthly values, with 20% enhanced 07-08UT and 20% depressed 19-20UT. Observed T index for 14 May: 36 Predicted Monthly T Index for May is 30. 4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST DATE T-index MUFs 15 May 25 Near predicted monthly values. 16 May 15 Near predicted to 15% depressed. 17 May 20 Near predicted to 10% depressed. 4C. AUSTRALIAN REGION COMMENT None. -- IPS Regional Warning Centre, Sydney |IPS Radio and Space Services email: rwc@ips.oz.au fax: +61 2 4148331 |PO Box 5606 RWC Duty Forecaster tel: +61 2 4148329 |West Chatswood NSW 2057 Recorded Message tel: +61 2 4148330 |AUSTRALIA