Xref: news.cs.tut.fi aus.radio:119 rec.radio.info:2961 Path: news.cs.tut.fi!news.funet.fi!sunic!pipex!howland.reston.ans.net!cs.utexas.edu!swrinde!sgiblab!munnari.oz.au!metro!news.ci.com.au!eram!dave From: dave@esi.COM.AU (Dave Horsfall) Newsgroups: aus.radio,rec.radio.info Subject: Daily IPS Report - 23 Nov 93 Message-ID: <4858@eram.esi.COM.AU> Date: 22 Nov 93 23:51:18 GMT Followup-To: aus.radio,rec.radio.amateur.misc Distribution: world Lines: 79 Approved: rec-radio-info@ve6mgs.ampr.ab.ca IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES AUSTRALIA Daily Solar And Geophysical Report Issued at 2330 UT 22 November 1993 Summary for 22 November and Forecast up to 25 November IPS Warning 31 was issued on 21 Nov and is current for 23-25 Nov. ----------------------------------------------------------- 1A. SOLAR SUMMARY Activity: low Flares: none. Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number : 099/046 1B. SOLAR FORECAST 23 November 24 November 25 November Activity Low to moderate Low to moderate Low to moderate Fadeouts None expected None expected None expected Forecast 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number : 099/046 1C. SOLAR COMMENT None. ----------------------------------------------------------- 2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY Geomagnetic field at Learmonth : quiet Estimated Indices : A K Observed A Index 21 November Learmonth 04 2112 1111 Fredericksburg 04 05 Planetary 05 05 2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST DATE Ap CONDITIONS 23 Nov 35 Initially quiet to unsettled then increasing to active to minor storm levels during local night. 24 Nov 20 Active. 25 Nov 12 Quiet to unsettled. 2C. MAGNETIC COMMENT None. 3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY LATITUDE BAND DATE LOW MIDDLE HIGH 22 Nov normal normal normal PCA Event : None. 3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST LATITUDE BAND DATE LOW MIDDLE HIGH 23 Nov fair poor poor 24 Nov normal fair poor 25 Nov normal normal fair 3C. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION COMMENT NONE. ----------------------------------------------------------- 4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY MUFs at Sydney were near predicted monthly values T index: 53 4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST DATE T-index MUFs 23 Nov 50 Near predicted monthly values/depressed 15 to 20%. 24 Nov 10 15 to 20% below predicted monthly values. 25 Nov 30 Near predicted monthly values. Predicted Monthly T Index for November is 50. 4C. AUSTRALIAN REGION COMMENT Degraded HF comms expected from local night today. -- Dave Horsfall (VK2KFU) VK2KFU @ VK2RWI.NSW.AUS.OC PGP 2.3 dave@esi.COM.AU ...munnari!esi.COM.AU!dave available