From solar-daily-request@lut.fi Sat Sep  4 04:02:18 1993
Received: from lut.fi by cs.tut.fi with SMTP id AA05577
  (5.65c/IDA-1.4.4 for <rko@cs.tut.fi>); Sat, 4 Sep 1993 04:02:17 +0300
Received: by lut.fi with TULP
	(5.65c/IDA-1.4.4/Kim-2.2) id AA09859; Sat, 4 Sep 1993 04:01:32 +0300
Received: from rho.uleth.ca by lut.fi with SMTP
 (5.65c/IDA-1.4.4/Kim-2.2) id AA09731; Sat, 4 Sep 1993 04:00:05 +0300
Return-Path: <oler@rho.uleth.ca>
Received: by rho.uleth.ca (5.57/Ultrix3.0-C)
 id AA11833; Fri, 3 Sep 93 18:59:33 -0600
From: oler@rho.uleth.ca (Cary Oler)
Message-Id: <9309040059.AA11833@rho.uleth.ca>
Subject: Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 28 August
To: solar-daily@lut.fi
Date: Fri, 3 Sep 93 18:59:27 MDT
X-Mailer: ELM [version 2.3 PL11]
Reply-To: SOLAR-DAILY Distribution List <solar-daily@lut.fi>
X-Sequence: 978
Status: RO

                /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\

                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                 28 AUGUST, 1993

                /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\

                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 28 AUGUST, 1993
----------------------------------------------------------

!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 240, 08/28/93
10.7 FLUX=088.4  90-AVG=101        SSN=071      BKI=3212 2222  BAI=007
BGND-XRAY=A6.0     FLU1=9.7E+04  FLU10=1.3E+04  PKI=3212 3323  PAI=009
  BOU-DEV=020,011,007,010,017,016,013,017   DEV-AVG=013 NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= B1.0   @ 0347UT    XRAY-MIN= A4.1   @ 0728UT   XRAY-AVG= A7.4
NEUTN-MAX= +003%  @ 2010UT   NEUTN-MIN= -002%  @ 2150UT  NEUTN-AVG= -0.2%
  PCA-MAX= +0.2DB @ 1550UT     PCA-MIN= -0.3DB @ 2305UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=55372NT @ 0004UT   BOUTF-MIN=55324NT @ 1740UT  BOUTF-AVG=55353NT
GOES7-MAX=P:+000NT@ 0000UT   GOES7-MIN=N:+000NT@ 0000UT  G7-AVG=+081,+000,+000
GOES6-MAX=P:+128NT@ 1719UT   GOES6-MIN=N:-072NT@ 1949UT  G6-AVG=+098,+007,-054
 FLUXFCST=STD:085,085,080;SESC:085,085,080 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,010,015/010,015,020
    KFCST=1223 3222 2234 4332  27DAY-AP=004,006   27DAY-KP=1101 2222 3121 1222
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 27 AUG 93 was  53.1.
      The Full Kp Indices for 27 AUG 93 are: 2- 0+ 2o 3o   4- 5- 4o 3+ 


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity continues very low. There are four simple
       spot groups now visible. Active prominences were observed on
       both the southwest and southeast limbs.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be
       very low.

            The geomagnetic field has been quiet to unsettled.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be increasingly more disturbed over the next 72
       hours. A north polar crown coronal hole is moving into a
       geoeffective position and should cause unsettled to active
       conditions by the end of the interval.

            Event probabilities 29 aug-31 aug

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 29 aug-31 aug

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                15/20/40
                        Minor Storm           05/10/20
                        Major-Severe Storm    01/05/15

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                30/30/40
                        Minor Storm           15/20/25
                        Major-Severe Storm    05/10/15

            HF propagation conditions have been near-normal over the
       last 24 hours.  Similar conditions are expected over the next
       24 to 72 hours.  There is a chance minor signal degradation
       could be observed sometime over the next 72 hours in response
       to anticipated enhancements in geomagnetic activity.


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SESC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
========================================================

REGIONS WITH SUNSPOTS. LOCATIONS VALID AT 28/2400Z AUGUST
---------------------------------------------------------
NMBR LOCATION  LO  AREA  Z   LL   NN MAG TYPE
7566  S10W71  046  0100 HAX  04  003 ALPHA
7568  N08W40  015  0060 DAO  08  017 BETA
7572  N21E14  321  0070 HAX  02  002 ALPHA
7573  N07E28  307  0060 DAO  07  009 BETA
7570  S11W17  352                    PLAGE
7574  S11W38  013                    PLAGE
REGIONS DUE TO RETURN 29 AUGUST TO 31 AUGUST
NMBR LAT    LO
NONE


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 28 AUGUST, 1993
-----------------------------------------------------
BEGIN  MAX  END  RGN   LOC   XRAY  OP 245MHZ 10CM   SWEEP
NONE



POSSIBLE CORONAL MASS EJECTION EVENTS FOR 28 AUGUST, 1993
---------------------------------------------------------
 BEGIN        MAX      END     LOCATION   TYPE   SIZE  DUR  II IV
     NO EVENTS OBSERVED


INFERRED CORONAL HOLES. LOCATIONS VALID AT 28/2400Z
---------------------------------------------------
               ISOLATED HOLES AND POLAR EXTENSIONS
      EAST   SOUTH  WEST   NORTH  CAR  TYPE  POL  AREA   OBSN
                 NO DATA AVAILABLE FOR ANALYSIS


**  End of Daily Report  **


