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From: oler@rho.uleth.ca (Cary Oler)
Reply-To: SOLAR-WEEKLY Distribution List <solar-weekly@lut.fi>
To: SOLAR-WEEKLY Distribution List <solar-weekly@lut.fi>
Message-Id: <9302190033.AA22803@rho.uleth.ca>
Subject: Weekly Solar Terrestrial Forecast & Review - 19-28 Feb
Date: Thu, 18 Feb 93 17:33:27 MST
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Status: OR

               ---  SOLAR TERRESTRIAL FORECAST AND REVIEW  ---
                       February 19 to February 28, 1993

                Report Released by Solar Terrestrial Dispatch
                   P.O. Box 357, Stirling, Alberta, Canada
                                   T0K 2E0
                    Accessible BBS System: (403) 756-3008

                                  ---------

IMPORTANT NOTICE : The weekly report for next week (due to be released on
                   25 February) will not be released.  Equipment is being
                   moved which will prevent the report from being compiled.
                   Daily reports will also be unavailable from about 20 Feb
                   through to 26 or 27 February, as will all alerts, and
                   warnings issued by the STD.

                                  ---------

     For information regarding our Dynamic Auroral Oval Simulator and its
          importance in aiding to determing propagation conditions,
                   send a request for more information to:
                Oler@Rho.Uleth.CA, or COler@Solar.Stanford.Edu

          Our Spring Special is now in effect for this software and
                    will remain active until 31 May, 1993.

                                  ---------

SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECASTS AT A GLANCE
----------------------------------------------------

10-DAY SOLAR/RADIO/MAGNETIC/AURORAL ACTIVITY OUTLOOK

  | Solar |HF Propagation  +/- CON|SID PROB. Es  AU.BKSR  DX| Mag| Aurora |
  |Activty|LO MI HI PO SWF %MUF  %|ENH LO MI HI  LO MI HI  %|K Ap|LO MI HI|
--|-------|-----------------------|-------------------------|----|--------|
19|LOW-MOD|VG  G  F  F  40 -10  70| 25 NA NA NA  01 10 20 35|3 15|NV NV LO|
20|LOW-MOD| G  F  P  P  30 -20  60| 25 NA NA NA  05 35 40 30|5 30|NV MO MO|
21|LOW-MOD| G  G  P  P  25 -15  65| 25 NA NA NA  03 30 35 30|4 20|NV LO MO|
22|LOW-MOD|VG  G  F  F  25 -05  65| 20 NA NA NA  02 25 30 30|3 12|NV NV LO|
23|LOW-MOD|VG  G  F  F  25  00  65| 20 NA NA NA  02 20 25 35|3 12|NV NV LO|
24|LOW-MOD|VG  G  F  F  30 +05  65| 25 NA NA NA  02 20 25 35|2 10|NV NV LO|
25|LOW-MOD|VG  G  F  F  30 +05  65| 25 NA NA NA  02 20 25 35|2 10|NV NV LO|
26|LOW-MOD|VG  G  F  F  30 +05  65| 25 NA NA NA  02 20 25 35|3 12|NV NV LO|
27|LOW-MOD|VG  G  P  F  30  00  65| 25 NA NA NA  03 25 30 30|3 15|NV NV MO|
28|LOW-MOD|VG  G  P  P  30 -05  65| 25 NA NA NA  03 25 30 30|4 20|NV LO MO|

DEFINITIONS:

Date (day only)
Possible Magnitude of Solar Flaring (LOW=C-class, MOD=M-class, HIGH=M or X)
HF Propagation Conditions for LOw, MIddle, HIgh, and POlar areas (see below)
HF Short Wave Fade Probability (in %)
HF Maximum Usable Frequency in +/- percent above seasonal normals.
HF Prediction CONfidence Level (in %)
VHF Sudden Ionospheric ENHancement Probs (in %), weighted for low-mid lats
PROBability of "s"poradic E (Es) during the UT day for low, mid and high lats
VHF AUroral BacKScatteR Probs (in %) for LOw, MIddle and HIgh Latitudes
VHF Overall Global DX Potential (in %) - weighted for Low and Middle latitudes
Geomagnetic Activity Kp Index (peak value - see below)
GeoMAGnetic Activity Ap Index (peak value - see below)
AURORAl Activity for LOw, MIddle and HIgh Latitudes (see below)

HF Prop. Quality rated as: EG=Extremely Good, VG=Very Good, G=Good, F=Fair,
   P=Poor, VP=Very Poor, EP=Extremely Poor.
Probability of Sporadic E (Es) for the various latitudes is given in percent.
Kp Planetary Index rated: 0=V.Quiet, 1=Quiet, 2=Unstld, 3=Active, 4=V.Active,
   5=Minor Storm, 6=Major Storm, 7=Maj-Sev Storm, 8=Severe Storm, 9=V.Severe.
Ap Planetary Index rated: 0-7=Quiet, 8-16=Unstld, 17-29=Active,
   30-49=Minor Storm, 50-99=Major Storm, Severe Storm >=100.
Auroral Activity rated: NV=Not Visible, LO=Low, MO=Moderate, HI=High,
   VH=Very High.


PEAK PLANETARY 10-DAY GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY OUTLOOK (19 FEB - 28 FEB)
    ________________________________________________________________________
   |  EXTREMELY SEVERE |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   | HIGH       |
   | VERY SEVERE STORM |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   | HIGH       |
   |      SEVERE STORM |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   | MODERATE   |
   |       MAJOR STORM |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   | LOW - MOD. |
   |       MINOR STORM |   | * |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   | LOW        |
   |       VERY ACTIVE |  *|***|** |   |   |   |   |   |   | * | NONE       |
   |            ACTIVE |***|***|***|** | * | * | * | * | **|***| NONE       |
   |         UNSETTLED |***|***|***|***|***|***|***|***|***|***| NONE       |
   |             QUIET |***|***|***|***|***|***|***|***|***|***| NONE       |
   |        VERY QUIET |***|***|***|***|***|***|***|***|***|***| NONE       |
   |-------------------|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|------------|
   | Geomagnetic Field |Fri|Sat|Sun|Mon|Tue|Wed|Thu|Fri|Sat|Sun|  Anomaly   |
   |    Conditions     |     Given in 8-hour UT intervals      | Intensity  |
   |________________________________________________________________________|

                            CONFIDENCE LEVEL: 65%

NOTES:
       Predicted geomagnetic activity is based heavily on recurrent
phenomena. Transient energetic solar events cannot be predicted reliably over
periods in excess of several days.  Hence, there may be some deviations from
the predictions due to the unpredictable transient solar component.


60-DAY GRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY
         ____________________________________________________________
     54 |                                          J                 |
     51 |                                          J                 |
     49 |                                          J                 |
     46 |                                          J                 |
     43 |                                          J                 |
     40 |         M                                J                 |
     38 |         M                                J                 |
     35 |         M                                J                M|
     32 |         M                                J       M        M|
     30 |         M                                J       M        M|
     27 |        AM           A                    J       M        M|
     24 |        AM           A                    J       M        M|
     22 |        AM    AA     A                    JA      M        M|
     19 |        AM    AA     A               A    JA      MA       M|
     16 |        AM   AAA  A  AA             AA    JA     AMA       M|
     13 |        AM   AAAU A UAA  A    U     AA    JAU    AMAUU     M|
     11 |UU      AM   AAAUUA UAA  AU U U     AA    JAU    AMAUUU    M|
      8 |UU      AMUU AAAUUAUUAAUUAU U UU   UAAU  UJAUUU  AMAUUUU   M|
      5 |UUUUU   AMUUUAAAUUAUUAAUUAUQUUUUQ  UAAUU UJAUUUU AMAUUUU  UM|
      3 |UUUUUQQQAMUUUAAAUUAUUAAUUAUQUUUUQQQUAAUUQUJAUUUUQAMAUUUUQQUM|
         ------------------------------------------------------------
                         Chart Start Date:  Day #355

NOTES:
     This graph is determined by plotting the greater of either the planetary
     A-index or the Boulder A-index.  Graph lines are labelled according
     to the severity of the activity which occurred on each day.  The left-
     hand column represents the associated A-Index for that day.
     Q = Quiet, U = Unsettled, A = Active, M = Minor Storm,
     J = Major Storm, and S = Severe Storm.


CUMULATIVE GRAPHICAL CHART OF THE 10.7 CM SOLAR RADIO FLUX
----------------------------------------------------------
     ____________________________________________________________
192 |                                                            |
188 |                                                  *         |
184 |                                                * **        |
180 |                                                * ***       |
176 |                                                *****       |
172 |                                                ******      |
168 |                                                ******      |
164 |                                                ******      |
160 |                                               *******      |
156 |                                               *******      |
152 |                                               *******      |
148 |*                                              ********     |
144 |** *                                          *********     |
140 |****                   **                     ********* *   |
136 |******                 **                    ********** *   |
132 |******             * ***** *                 ************** |
128 |*******    *     ********* *                *************** |
124 |************  * *************              *****************|
120 |******************************             *****************|
116 |*******************************           ******************|
112 |*******************************        *********************|
108 |********************************      **********************|
104 |************************************************************|
100 |************************************************************|
     ------------------------------------------------------------
                        Chart Start:  Day #355


GRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF 90-DAY AVERAGE SOLAR FLUX
-----------------------------------------------

     ____________________________________________________________
143 |                                                            |
142 |                          ****                              |
141 |                       **********                           |
140 |            *       ***************                         |
139 |    ********************************                 *****  |
138 | ************************************              *********|
137 |**************************************            **********|
136 |*****************************************       ************|
135 |************************************************************|
134 |************************************************************|
     ------------------------------------------------------------
                        Chart Start:  Day #355

NOTES:
     The 10.7 cm solar radio flux is plotted from data reported
     by the Penticton Radio Observatory (formerly the ARO from
     Ottawa).  High solar flux levels denote higher levels of
     activity and a greater number of sunspot groups on the Sun.
     The 90-day mean solar flux graph is charted from the 90-day
     mean of the 10.7 cm solar radio flux.


CUMULATIVE GRAPHICAL CHART OF SUNSPOT NUMBERS
---------------------------------------------

     ____________________________________________________________
197 |                                                            |
190 |                                                *           |
183 |                                                *  *        |
176 |                                                ****        |
169 |                                                ****        |
162 |                       *                       *****        |
155 |      *                *                       *****        |
148 |*     *                *                       ******       |
141 |*     *            * * **                      ******       |
134 |**    *            * ****                      ******       |
127 |**  * **          *******                     *********     |
120 |********         ********                     *********** * |
113 |********         ********                     *********** * |
106 |**********       ********                     *********** * |
099 |**********      ********** *                  ************* |
092 |**********     *********** * *               ************** |
085 |**********     *********** ****              ***************|
078 |************ ******************              ***************|
071 |*******************************    **       ****************|
064 |*********************************  **  *  * ****************|
057 |*********************************  ****** ******************|
050 |*********************************  *************************|
043 |************************************************************|
     ------------------------------------------------------------
                        Chart Start:  Day #355

NOTES:
     The graphical chart of sunspot numbers is created from the
     daily sunspot number counts as reported by the SESC.


HF RADIO SIGNAL PROPAGATION PREDICTIONS (19 FEB - 28 FEB)

     SPECIAL SUPPLEMENTARY SUPPORT FOR THE UPCOMING HF RADIO CONTEST
     ---------------------------------------------------------------

          Propagation conditions for the weekend of 20 and 21 February
          are uncertain.  A major solar flare that erupted on 17
          February may prove to be geoeffective on 20 February.  There
          is uncertainty regarding the possible arrival of this
          disturbance given that the flare originated from a location
          near the west limb.  If a disturbance arrives, it is
          expected to produce poor to very poor propagation conditions
          over the high and polar latitude paths.  Middle and low
          latitude paths should fair better, with near-normal
          propagation during the day and slightly below normal
          propagation (increased signal instabilities) during the
          local night sectors.  The disturbance should begin to
          subside late on 20 February or on 21 February.  If this
          disturbance fails to arrive, conditions should remain
          near-normal throughout the weekend.  Sporadic high and polar
          latitude substorming could occasionally degrade paths
          crossing these regions during the local night sectors.

                              High Latitude Paths
            ________________________________________________________
           | EXTREMELY GOOD |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |
           |      VERY GOOD |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |
CONFIDENCE |           GOOD |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |
  LEVEL    |           FAIR | * |   | * | **|***|***|***|***|***| **|
 -------   |           POOR |* *| **|* *|*  |   |   |   |   |   |*  |
   60%     |      VERY POOR |   |*  |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |
           | EXTREMELY POOR |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |
           |----------------|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
           |  PROPAGATION   |Fri|Sat|Sun|Mon|Tue|Wed|Thu|Fri|Sat|Sun|
           |    QUALITY     |    Given in 8 Local-Hour Intervals    |
            --------------------------------------------------------

                             Middle Latitude Paths
            ________________________________________________________
           | EXTREMELY GOOD |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |
           |      VERY GOOD |   |   |   |   | * | * | * | * |   |   |
CONFIDENCE |           GOOD | **| * | **|***|* *|* *|* *|* *|***|***|
  LEVEL    |           FAIR |*  |* *|*  |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |
 -------   |           POOR |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |
   65%     |      VERY POOR |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |
           | EXTREMELY POOR |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |
           |----------------|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
           |  PROPAGATION   |Fri|Sat|Sun|Mon|Tue|Wed|Thu|Fri|Sat|Sun|
           |    QUALITY     |    Given in 8 Local-Hour Intervals    |
            --------------------------------------------------------

                                Low Latitude Paths
            ________________________________________________________
           | EXTREMELY GOOD |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |
           |      VERY GOOD | * |   |   | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
CONFIDENCE |           GOOD |* *|***|***|* *|* *|* *|* *|* *|* *|* *|
  LEVEL    |           FAIR |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |
 -------   |           POOR |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |
   70%     |      VERY POOR |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |
           | EXTREMELY POOR |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |
           |----------------|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
           |  PROPAGATION   |Fri|Sat|Sun|Mon|Tue|Wed|Thu|Fri|Sat|Sun|
           |    QUALITY     |    Given in 8 Local-Hour Intervals    |
            --------------------------------------------------------
NOTES:
        NORTHERN HEMISPHERE                    SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
  High latitudes >= 55      deg. N.  |   High latitudes >= 55      deg. S.
Middle latitudes >= 40 < 55 deg. N.  | Middle latitudes >= 30 < 55 deg. S.
   Low latitudes  < 40      deg. N.  |    Low latitudes  < 30      deg. S.
 

POTENTIAL VHF DX PROPAGATION PREDICTIONS (19 FEB - 28 FEB)
   INCLUDES SID AND AURORAL BACKSCATTER ENHANCEMENT PREDICTIONS

                   HIGH LATITUDES
 __________________________________________________      ___________________
|   NOT    | Given in 8 hour local time intervals  |    |SWF/SID ENHANCEMENT|
|AVAILABLE |Fri|Sat|Sun|Mon|Tue|Wed|Thu|Fri|Sat|Sun|    |F|S|S|M|T|W|T|F|S|S|
|__________|___|___|___|___|___|___|___|___|___|___|    |-|-|-|-|-|-|-|-|-|-|
|       0% |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |  0%|*|*|*|*|*|*|*|*|*|*|
|      20% |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   | 20%|*|*|*|*|*|*|*|*|*|*|
|      40% |   |   N O T   P R E S E N T L Y   |   | 40%|*| | | | | | | | | |
|      60% |   |   |   A V A I L A B L E   |   |   | 60%| | | | | | | | | | |
|      80% |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   | 80%| | | | | | | | | | |
|     100% |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |100%| | | | | | | | | | |
|==========|===|===|===|===|===|===|===|===|===|===|    |-------------------|
|     100% |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |100%| | | | | | | | | | |
|      80% |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   | 80%| | | | | | | | | | |
|      60% |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   | 60%| | | | | | | | | | |
|      40% |  *|* *|*  |   |   |   |   |   |   |   | 40%| |*|*| | | | | | |*|
|      20% |***|***|***|***|***|***|***|***|***|***| 20%|*|*|*|*|*|*|*|*|*|*|
|       0% |***|***|***|***|***|***|***|***|***|***|  0%|*|*|*|*|*|*|*|*|*|*|
|----------|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|    |-|-|-|-|-|-|-|-|-|-|
|CHANCE OF |Fri|Sat|Sun|Mon|Tue|Wed|Thu|Fri|Sat|Sun|    |F|S|S|M|T|W|T|F|S|S|
|  VHF DX  | Given in 8 hour local time intervals  |    |AURORAL BACKSCATTER|
|__________|_______________________________________|    |___________________|


                  MIDDLE LATITUDES
 __________________________________________________      ___________________
|   NOT    | Given in 8 hour local time intervals  |    |SWF/SID ENHANCEMENT|
|AVAILABLE |Fri|Sat|Sun|Mon|Tue|Wed|Thu|Fri|Sat|Sun|    |F|S|S|M|T|W|T|F|S|S|
|__________|___|___|___|___|___|___|___|___|___|___|    |-|-|-|-|-|-|-|-|-|-|
|       0% |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |  0%|*|*|*|*|*|*|*|*|*|*|
|      20% |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   | 20%|*|*|*|*|*|*|*|*|*|*|
|      40% |   |   N O T   P R E S E N T L Y   |   | 40%|*|*|*|*|*|*| | | | |
|      60% |   |   |   A V A I L A B L E   |   |   | 60%| | | | | | | | | | |
|      80% |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   | 80%| | | | | | | | | | |
|     100% |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |100%| | | | | | | | | | |
|==========|===|===|===|===|===|===|===|===|===|===|    |-------------------|
|     100% |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |100%| | | | | | | | | | |
|      80% |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   | 80%| | | | | | | | | | |
|      60% |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   | 60%| | | | | | | | | | |
|      40% | **|* *|*  | * | * | * | * | * | * |   | 40%| | | | | | | | | | |
|      20% |***|***|***|***|***|***|***|***|***|***| 20%| |*|*| | | | | | |*|
|       0% |***|***|***|***|***|***|***|***|***|***|  0%|*|*|*|*|*|*|*|*|*|*|
|----------|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|    |-|-|-|-|-|-|-|-|-|-|
|CHANCE OF |Fri|Sat|Sun|Mon|Tue|Wed|Thu|Fri|Sat|Sun|    |F|S|S|M|T|W|T|F|S|S|
|  VHF DX  | Given in 8 hour local time intervals  |    |AURORAL BACKSCATTER|
|__________|_______________________________________|    |___________________|

                    LOW LATITUDES
 __________________________________________________      ___________________
|   NOT    | Given in 8 hour local time intervals  |    |SWF/SID ENHANCEMENT|
|AVAILABLE |Fri|Sat|Sun|Mon|Tue|Wed|Thu|Fri|Sat|Sun|    |F|S|S|M|T|W|T|F|S|S|
|__________|___|___|___|___|___|___|___|___|___|___|    |-|-|-|-|-|-|-|-|-|-|
|       0% |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |  0%|*|*|*|*|*|*|*|*|*|*|
|      20% |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   | 20%|*|*|*|*|*|*|*|*|*|*|
|      40% |   |   N O T   P R E S E N T L Y   |   | 40%|*|*|*|*|*|*| | | | |
|      60% |   |   |   A V A I L A B L E   |   |   | 60%| | | | | | | | | | |
|      80% |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   | 80%| | | | | | | | | | |
|     100% |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |100%| | | | | | | | | | |
|==========|===|===|===|===|===|===|===|===|===|===|    |-------------------|
|     100% |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |100%| | | | | | | | | | |
|      80% |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   | 80%| | | | | | | | | | |
|      60% |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   | 60%| | | | | | | | | | |
|      40% |***| **| **|***|***|***|***|***|***| **| 40%| | | | | | | | | | |
|      20% |***|***|***|***|***|***|***|***|***|***| 20%| |*|*| | | | | | |*|
|       0% |***|***|***|***|***|***|***|***|***|***|  0%|*|*|*|*|*|*|*|*|*|*|
|----------|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|    |-|-|-|-|-|-|-|-|-|-|
|CHANCE OF |Fri|Sat|Sun|Mon|Tue|Wed|Thu|Fri|Sat|Sun|    |F|S|S|M|T|W|T|F|S|S|
|  VHF DX  | Given in 8 hour local time intervals  |    |AURORAL BACKSCATTER|
|__________|_______________________________________|    |___________________|

NOTES:
      These VHF DX prediction charts are defined for the 30 MHz to 220 MHz
bands.  They are based primarily on phenomena which can affect VHF DX
propagation globally.  They should be used only as a guide to potential
DX conditions on VHF bands.  Latitudinal boundaries are the same as those for
the HF predictions charts.


AURORAL ACTIVITY PREDICTIONS (19 FEB - 28 FEB)

                            High Latitude Locations
            ________________________________________________________
           | EXTREMELY HIGH |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |
CONFIDENCE |      VERY HIGH |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |
  LEVEL    |           HIGH |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |
 -------   |       MODERATE | **|***|** | * |   |   |   |   | * | * |
   65%     |            LOW |***|***|***|***|***|***|***|***|***|***|
           |    NOT VISIBLE |***|***|***|***|***|***|***|***|***|***|
           |----------------|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
           |    AURORAL     |Fri|Sat|Sun|Mon|Tue|Wed|Thu|Fri|Sat|Sun|
           |   INTENSITY    |  Eve.Twilight/Midnight/Morn.Twilight  |
            --------------------------------------------------------

                          Middle Latitude Locations
            ________________________________________________________
           | EXTREMELY HIGH |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |
CONFIDENCE |      VERY HIGH |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |
  LEVEL    |           HIGH |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |
 -------   |       MODERATE |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |
   65%     |            LOW | **|** | * |   |   |   |   |   | * | * |
           |    NOT VISIBLE |***|***|***|***|***|***|***|***|***|***|
           |----------------|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
           |    AURORAL     |Fri|Sat|Sun|Mon|Tue|Wed|Thu|Fri|Sat|Sun|
           |   INTENSITY    |  Eve.Twilight/Midnight/Morn.Twilight  |
            --------------------------------------------------------

                             Low Latitude Locations
            ________________________________________________________
           | EXTREMELY HIGH |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |
CONFIDENCE |      VERY HIGH |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |
  LEVEL    |           HIGH |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |
 -------   |       MODERATE |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |
   75%     |            LOW |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |   |
           |    NOT VISIBLE |***|***|***|***|***|***|***|***|***|***|
           |----------------|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
           |    AURORAL     |Fri|Sat|Sun|Mon|Tue|Wed|Thu|Fri|Sat|Sun|
           |   INTENSITY    |  Eve.Twilight/Midnight/Morn.Twilight  |
            --------------------------------------------------------

NOTE:
     A Dynamic Auroral Oval Simulation and Prediction Software Package is
available to help make predictions and show the locations where auroral
activity should be visible from the ground.  For more information regarding
this software, contact: "Oler@Rho.Uleth.CA", or "COler@Solar.Stanford.Edu".

     For more information regarding these charts, send a request for the
document, "Understanding Solar Terrestrial Reports" to: "Oler@Rho.Uleth.Ca"
or to: "COler@Solar.Stanford.Edu". This document, as well as others and
related data/forecasts exist on the STD BBS at: (403) 756-3008.


**  End of Report  **


