From solar-daily-request@lut.fi Mon Jan 18 17:32:03 1993
Received: from lut.fi by cs.tut.fi with SMTP id AA25148
  (5.65c/IDA-1.4.4 for <rko@cs.tut.fi>); Tue, 19 Jan 1993 09:35:05 +0200
Received: by lut.fi with TULP
	(5.65c8/IDA-1.4.4/Kim-2.2) id AA27482; Tue, 19 Jan 1993 09:33:44 +0200
Received: from rho.uleth.ca by lut.fi with SMTP
	(5.65c8/IDA-1.4.4/Kim-2.2) id AA27430; Tue, 19 Jan 1993 09:32:58 +0200
Received: by rho.uleth.ca (5.57/Ultrix3.0-C)
	id AA07322; Tue, 19 Jan 93 00:32:06 -0700
From: oler@rho.uleth.ca (Cary Oler)
Reply-To: SOLAR-DAILY Distribution List <solar-daily@lut.fi>
To: SOLAR-DAILY Distribution List <solar-daily@lut.fi>
Message-Id: <9301190732.AA07322@rho.uleth.ca>
Subject: Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 18 January
Date: Tue, 19 Jan 93 0:32:03 MST
X-Sequence: 529
X-Charset: FI
X-Char-Esc: 29
Status: OR

                /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\

                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                18 JANUARY, 1993

                /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\

                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 18 JANUARY, 1993
-----------------------------------------------------------

!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 018, 01/18/93
10.7 FLUX=121.6  90-AVG=142        SSN=094      BKI=1212 2222  BAI=006
BGND-XRAY=B2.7     FLU1=4.1E+05  FLU10=1.1E+04  PKI=1222 2233  PAI=008
  BOU-DEV=008,012,009,017,012,017,012,019   DEV-AVG=013 NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= C2.4   @ 1303UT    XRAY-MIN= B2.4   @ 2300UT   XRAY-AVG= B3.2
NEUTN-MAX= +003%  @ 2210UT   NEUTN-MIN= -001%  @ 2340UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.8%
  PCA-MAX= +0.1DB @ 2345UT     PCA-MIN= -0.2DB @ 0835UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=55418NT @ 0445UT   BOUTF-MIN=55391NT @ 2121UT  BOUTF-AVG=55410NT
GOES7-MAX=P:+107NT@ 2030UT   GOES7-MIN=N:-002NT@ 0843UT  G7-AVG=+079,+027,+009
GOES6-MAX=P:+129NT@ 1650UT   GOES6-MIN=E:-009NT@ 2306UT  G6-AVG=+097,+001,+036
 FLUXFCST=STD:120,120,120;SESC:120,120,120 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,005,005/010,010,010
    KFCST=1233 3221 1112 3322  27DAY-AP=011,007   27DAY-KP=1133 3333 1123 3221
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was low. There are five spotted
       regions on the disk which are all unimpressive. Region 7401
       (S12E08) shows the most potential for any type of activity.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be
       low.

            The geomagnetic field has been mostly quiet to unsettled
       the past 24 hours. Unsettled periods were during the
       nighttime hours mainly at the higher latitudes.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet to unsettled.

            Event probabilities 19 jan-21 jan

                             Class M    10/10/10
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 19 jan-21 jan

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                20/20/20
                        Minor Storm           05/05/05
                        Major-Severe Storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                20/20/20
                        Minor Storm           10/10/10
                        Major-Severe Storm    01/01/01

            HF propagation conditions have been near-normal over all
       regions.  No changes are expected over the next 72 hours.
       Propagation should remain normal with increased signal
       stability on transpolar paths.


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SESC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
========================================================

REGIONS WITH SUNSPOTS. LOCATIONS VALID AT 18/2400Z JANUARY
----------------------------------------------------------
NMBR LOCATION  LO  AREA  Z   LL   NN MAG TYPE
7400  S10W83  110  0140 DAO  10  007 BETA
7401  S12E09  018  0100 DAO  05  017 BETA
7402  S25E04  023  0010 BXO  03  003 BETA
7403  N16E29  358  0160 HAX  02  001 ALPHA
7404  N13W68  095  0040 CRO  07  003 BETA
7406  S12E77  310  0060 CAO  03  003 BETA
7398  N08W83  110                    PLAGE
7405  S12E01  026                    PLAGE
REGIONS DUE TO RETURN 19 JANUARY TO 21 JANUARY
NMBR LAT    LO
7388 S07   269


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 18 JANUARY, 1993
------------------------------------------------------
BEGIN  MAX  END  RGN   LOC   XRAY  OP 245MHZ 10CM   SWEEP SWF
1722  1722  1722                      120


POSSIBLE CORONAL MASS EJECTION EVENTS FOR 18 JANUARY, 1993
----------------------------------------------------------
 BEGIN        MAX      END     LOCATION   TYPE   SIZE  DUR  II IV
     NO EVENTS OBSERVED


INFERRED CORONAL HOLES. LOCATIONS VALID AT 18/2400Z
---------------------------------------------------
               ISOLATED HOLES AND POLAR EXTENSIONS
      EAST   SOUTH  WEST   NORTH  CAR  TYPE  POL  AREA   OBSN
                 NO DATA AVAILABLE FOR ANALYSIS


**  End of Daily Report  **



